Cross-Tabs: September 2024 Times/Siena Poll of the Arizona Likely Electorate (2024)

Sept. 23, 2024

Results of a New York Times/Siena College poll of 713 likely voters in Arizona conducted from Sept. 17 to 21, 2024.

All States
Arizona: Toplines | Cross-Tabs
Georgia: Toplines | Cross-Tabs
North Carolina: Toplines | Cross-Tabs

Do you think the United States is on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Right track	30%	30%	29%	26%	27%	27%	35%	26%	40%	34%	32%	29%	32%	22%	33%	39%	33%	34%	26%	13%	31%	31%	24%	59%	5%	9%	57%	5%	32%	55%	7%	32%	57%	5%	34%
Wrong direction	61%	62%	61%	66%	55%	68%	58%	66%	51%	52%	57%	64%	58%	71%	52%	51%	58%	56%	62%	84%	58%	61%	69%	28%	92%	60%	25%	93%	59%	28%	91%	59%	27%	92%	57%
[VOLUNTEERED] Don't know/Refused	9%	8%	10%	8%	18%	6%	7%	8%	10%	14%	11%	8%	9%	6%	15%	10%	9%	9%	12%	2%	10%	9%	7%	13%	3%	30%	17%	2%	9%	17%	3%	9%	16%	3%	9%
Number of respondents	713	345	365	128	152	243	173	431	149	114	311	396	210	219	91	170	417	98	108	90	294	252	167	317	353	43	206	216	249	209	249	255	260	281	139
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	53%	13%	21%	31%	33%	65%	18%	15%	39%	60%	28%	37%	10%	22%	60%	13%	16%	12%	41%	38%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	33%	32%	31%	39%	30%	39%	43%	13%

Thinking ahead to the presidential general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote or not at all likely to vote?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Almost certain	61%	61%	62%	46%	63%	64%	65%	66%	50%	56%	60%	63%	64%	68%	48%	55%	62%	64%	59%	58%	62%	61%	61%	69%	59%	20%	62%	62%	62%	64%	61%	59%	69%	61%	49%
Very likely	32%	30%	33%	38%	33%	28%	31%	29%	39%	33%	36%	29%	34%	26%	41%	35%	31%	26%	36%	38%	31%	33%	31%	26%	35%	53%	33%	33%	29%	31%	34%	31%	28%	34%	29%
Somewhat likely	2%	2%	2%	7%	2%	3%	<1%	2%	3%	5%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	5%	2%	2%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	1%	4%	2%	2%	3%	1%	1%	8%
Not very likely	<1%	1%	<.5%	3%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	4%
Not at all likely	2%	3%	1%	5%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	3%	4%	1%	2%	<.5%	1%	4%	4%	2%	<1%	3%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	1%	12%	2%	1%	3%	2%	<1%	4%	1%	1%	8%
[VOL] Already voted	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	3%	<1%	0%	1%	3%	1%	1%	3%	<1%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	2%	1%	3%	1%	5%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<1%	4%	<1%	2%	9%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%
Number of respondents	713	345	365	128	152	243	173	431	149	114	311	396	210	219	91	170	417	98	108	90	294	252	167	317	353	43	206	216	249	209	249	255	260	281	139
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	53%	13%	21%	31%	33%	65%	18%	15%	39%	60%	28%	37%	10%	22%	60%	13%	16%	12%	41%	38%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	33%	32%	31%	39%	30%	39%	43%	13%

(Combined presidential ballot, includes leaners to major-party candidates) If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Kamala [COMMA-luh] Harris, the Democrat	45%	40%	50%	56%	54%	38%	41%	41%	49%	62%	52%	41%	52%	34%	56%	55%	49%	42%	48%	22%	49%	50%	29%	100%	0%	0%	93%	5%	46%	90%	5%	49%	93%	3%	50%
Donald Trump, the Republican	50%	55%	46%	40%	38%	58%	53%	55%	41%	32%	42%	54%	44%	63%	33%	38%	47%	48%	45%	74%	45%	47%	63%	0%	100%	0%	4%	94%	47%	6%	92%	40%	3%	96%	41%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	6%	4%	4%	8%	3%	6%	4%	10%	6%	6%	5%	4%	4%	11%	7%	4%	10%	6%	3%	6%	3%	7%	0%	0%	100%	2%	1%	7%	3%	2%	11%	3%	1%	9%
MARGIN Trump +5 Calculated using candidates’ unrounded vote shares
Number of respondents	713	345	365	128	152	243	173	431	149	114	311	396	210	219	91	170	417	98	108	90	294	252	167	317	353	43	206	216	249	209	249	255	260	281	139
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	53%	13%	21%	31%	33%	65%	18%	15%	39%	60%	28%	37%	10%	22%	60%	13%	16%	12%	41%	38%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	33%	32%	31%	39%	30%	39%	43%	13%

(Combined presidential ballot, includes leaners to third-party candidates) If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Kamala [COMMA-luh] Harris, the Democrat	43%	38%	48%	53%	49%	37%	41%	40%	45%	60%	50%	39%	51%	33%	53%	51%	47%	41%	46%	21%	46%	49%	29%	96%	0%	0%	92%	4%	42%	88%	5%	46%	91%	3%	44%
Donald Trump, the Republican	48%	52%	45%	39%	34%	56%	53%	53%	39%	32%	39%	53%	42%	61%	29%	38%	45%	46%	43%	73%	43%	46%	62%	0%	97%	0%	4%	94%	42%	6%	92%	35%	3%	95%	38%
[VOL] Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the third-party candidate	<1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	2%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	3%	0%	0%	1%	0%	<.5%	0%	2%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	1%	0%	<1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	5%
Jill Stein [stine], the Green Party candidate	2%	2%	1%	5%	5%	<1%	0%	2%	<.5%	3%	3%	1%	3%	1%	4%	<1%	2%	<.5%	5%	2%	2%	2%	<.5%	2%	<1%	15%	<1%	<.5%	4%	1%	0%	5%	3%	<.5%	1%
[VOL] Cornel West, the third-party candidate	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Chase Oliver, the Libertarian Party candidate	2%	3%	2%	<1%	5%	3%	1%	2%	5%	<.5%	4%	1%	3%	1%	4%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	<.5%	2%	20%	<1%	1%	5%	<1%	2%	5%	<1%	<1%	5%
[VOL] Another candidate (specify)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	<1%	1%	<.5%	0%	1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	1%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	12%	1%	0%	1%	<1%	0%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	4%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	2%	3%	2%	4%	2%	4%	2%	7%	3%	3%	3%	<.5%	3%	8%	4%	2%	9%	1%	2%	3%	1%	5%	<.5%	<.5%	50%	1%	<.5%	4%	3%	1%	4%	1%	<1%	3%
MARGIN Trump +5 Calculated using candidates’ unrounded vote shares
Number of respondents	713	345	365	128	152	243	173	431	149	114	311	396	210	219	91	170	417	98	108	90	294	252	167	317	353	43	206	216	249	209	249	255	260	281	139
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	53%	13%	21%	31%	33%	65%	18%	15%	39%	60%	28%	37%	10%	22%	60%	13%	16%	12%	41%	38%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	33%	32%	31%	39%	30%	39%	43%	13%

(If candidate selected, including third-party candidates) Are you definitely or probably going to vote for [CANDIDATE SELECTED]?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Definitely	87%	85%	90%	74%	82%	88%	95%	90%	76%	87%	85%	89%	86%	93%	82%	81%	87%	85%	81%	97%	88%	88%	85%	89%	87%	47%	92%	94%	77%	92%	93%	73%	90%	92%	64%
Probably	9%	11%	7%	22%	14%	9%	2%	7%	18%	8%	12%	7%	10%	4%	17%	12%	9%	11%	12%	2%	8%	8%	12%	7%	9%	46%	6%	3%	19%	5%	4%	21%	7%	4%	28%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	5%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	3%	5%	5%	3%	4%	3%	3%	1%	7%	3%	4%	7%	2%	4%	4%	3%	4%	4%	8%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	6%	3%	3%	8%
Number of respondents	676	325	348	124	141	228	166	419	133	106	297	374	207	210	81	157	402	86	101	87	274	246	156	313	349	14	198	215	230	199	245	232	252	276	124
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	39%	60%	29%	38%	9%	21%	61%	12%	16%	12%	40%	39%	21%	46%	52%	2%	30%	35%	31%	32%	40%	28%	40%	44%	12%

(Leaners, if not supporting Trump or Harris in previous multi-candidate questions) If you had to decide between the two today, would you lean more toward:
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Kamala [COMMA-luh] Harris, the Democrat	20%	12%	32%	39%	32%	11%	0%	15%	25%	31%	16%	25%	16%	14%	18%	34%	24%	7%	22%	22%	31%	10%	5%	100%	0%	0%	38%	6%	25%	40%	6%	18%	39%	16%	29%
Donald Trump, the Republican	20%	28%	11%	7%	23%	37%	0%	25%	13%	7%	29%	12%	29%	23%	22%	3%	22%	13%	20%	17%	17%	32%	15%	0%	100%	0%	3%	5%	30%	2%	17%	26%	4%	35%	20%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	60%	60%	57%	54%	45%	52%	100%	60%	62%	62%	55%	63%	55%	63%	60%	63%	54%	80%	57%	60%	52%	59%	80%	0%	0%	100%	59%	89%	45%	59%	77%	57%	57%	50%	51%
Number of respondents	76	44	31	17	27	23	8	35	26	13	34	40	15	19	17	21	36	16	15	9	37	20	19	16	17	43	12	5	44	17	8	51	20	11	28
Percentage of total electorate	100%	53%	44%	11%	42%	24%	21%	48%	34%	15%	46%	53%	22%	25%	20%	28%	53%	18%	21%	8%	55%	22%	23%	20%	20%	60%	13%	6%	59%	20%	14%	66%	28%	12%	27%

(Ask only in AZ) If this year’s general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would you be more likely to vote for?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Ruben Gallego [gah-YEH-go], the Democrat	49%	45%	52%	61%	57%	43%	45%	46%	53%	62%	58%	44%	57%	38%	64%	55%	52%	52%	53%	24%	55%	51%	35%	94%	10%	33%	95%	9%	50%	94%	10%	53%	95%	9%	51%
Kari [care-ee] Lake, the Republican	43%	47%	41%	31%	35%	50%	48%	48%	32%	32%	35%	48%	37%	56%	27%	33%	41%	36%	41%	69%	37%	43%	55%	3%	83%	19%	1%	84%	40%	3%	81%	36%	2%	84%	34%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	8%	8%	7%	9%	8%	7%	7%	6%	15%	6%	7%	8%	6%	5%	9%	12%	7%	12%	6%	8%	8%	6%	10%	3%	8%	47%	3%	7%	10%	3%	8%	11%	2%	7%	15%
MARGIN Gallego +6 Calculated using candidates’ unrounded vote shares
Number of respondents	713	345	365	128	152	243	173	431	149	114	311	396	210	219	91	170	417	98	108	90	294	252	167	317	353	43	206	216	249	209	249	255	260	281	139
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	53%	13%	21%	31%	33%	65%	18%	15%	39%	60%	28%	37%	10%	22%	60%	13%	16%	12%	41%	38%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	33%	32%	31%	39%	30%	39%	43%	13%

(Responses reclassified by age group) In what year were you born?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
18-29	13%	13%	12%	100%	0%	0%	0%	9%	16%	27%	8%	16%	5%	12%	15%	23%	16%	10%	9%	5%	14%	14%	9%	16%	10%	10%	13%	7%	19%	13%	6%	21%	9%	8%	42%
30-44	21%	21%	20%	0%	100%	0%	0%	19%	27%	21%	26%	17%	24%	16%	35%	20%	21%	20%	23%	15%	28%	18%	10%	25%	16%	32%	22%	11%	28%	20%	12%	32%	24%	14%	25%
45-64	31%	31%	32%	0%	0%	100%	0%	30%	34%	33%	32%	31%	29%	30%	36%	32%	32%	35%	28%	26%	28%	32%	36%	27%	37%	21%	26%	36%	32%	25%	37%	30%	30%	35%	26%
65+	33%	34%	32%	0%	0%	0%	100%	40%	20%	18%	33%	33%	40%	40%	13%	22%	28%	33%	37%	53%	28%	32%	42%	30%	35%	36%	35%	43%	20%	37%	43%	15%	33%	39%	7%
Refused	3%	1%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	3%	<.5%	2%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	3%	1%	4%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	5%	3%	<1%	5%	2%	2%	3%	3%	0%
Number of respondents	713	345	365	128	152	243	173	431	149	114	311	396	210	219	91	170	417	98	108	90	294	252	167	317	353	43	206	216	249	209	249	255	260	281	139
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	53%	13%	21%	31%	33%	65%	18%	15%	39%	60%	28%	37%	10%	22%	60%	13%	16%	12%	41%	38%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	33%	32%	31%	39%	30%	39%	43%	13%

What is the highest educational level that you have completed?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Grade school	2%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	7%	<1%	0%	3%	0%	2%	0%	6%	2%	<1%	3%	0%	3%	2%	<.5%	3%	1%	6%	4%	<1%	1%	4%	<.5%	3%	2%	<1%	5%
High school	23%	22%	24%	39%	19%	24%	19%	22%	32%	22%	0%	38%	0%	38%	0%	40%	22%	24%	21%	33%	24%	23%	21%	20%	26%	22%	14%	28%	25%	18%	25%	27%	16%	26%	39%
Vocational or trade school	5%	7%	3%	6%	5%	4%	6%	6%	3%	5%	0%	8%	0%	10%	0%	5%	4%	5%	6%	7%	4%	5%	7%	4%	6%	0%	3%	7%	4%	3%	5%	6%	3%	7%	5%
Some college, no degree	19%	19%	19%	22%	13%	18%	23%	18%	16%	24%	0%	31%	0%	32%	0%	29%	18%	20%	17%	23%	15%	21%	24%	18%	20%	15%	16%	23%	18%	15%	21%	20%	16%	22%	20%
Associate’s degree	11%	10%	12%	7%	12%	12%	12%	10%	15%	11%	0%	19%	0%	18%	0%	19%	12%	16%	6%	12%	11%	8%	16%	11%	12%	13%	13%	10%	12%	12%	11%	11%	12%	13%	7%
Bachelor's degree	24%	23%	24%	23%	33%	23%	22%	25%	20%	24%	62%	0%	59%	0%	71%	0%	28%	17%	23%	15%	29%	24%	16%	26%	21%	34%	28%	20%	25%	27%	23%	22%	29%	19%	21%
Graduate or professional degree	15%	16%	13%	<1%	16%	16%	17%	17%	7%	12%	38%	0%	41%	0%	29%	0%	14%	16%	21%	9%	14%	18%	10%	19%	11%	8%	21%	10%	14%	19%	13%	12%	21%	12%	4%
[VOL] Refused	<1%	<1%	1%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	3%	2%	<1%	0%	<.5%	4%	0%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	0%
Number of respondents	713	345	365	128	152	243	173	431	149	114	311	396	210	219	91	170	417	98	108	90	294	252	167	317	353	43	206	216	249	209	249	255	260	281	139
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	53%	13%	21%	31%	33%	65%	18%	15%	39%	60%	28%	37%	10%	22%	60%	13%	16%	12%	41%	38%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	33%	32%	31%	39%	30%	39%	43%	13%

Would you consider yourself:
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
White	64%	66%	62%	46%	60%	62%	78%	98%	0%	0%	70%	61%	99%	98%	0%	0%	63%	57%	68%	72%	62%	68%	62%	59%	71%	43%	54%	73%	66%	55%	74%	62%	62%	75%	40%
Hispanic or Latino	18%	14%	21%	22%	24%	19%	11%	0%	99%	0%	12%	21%	0%	0%	48%	58%	17%	25%	19%	13%	22%	12%	18%	19%	15%	35%	27%	13%	14%	24%	13%	18%	19%	10%	37%
Black or African American	5%	4%	5%	10%	5%	4%	3%	0%	0%	32%	5%	4%	0%	0%	21%	11%	6%	4%	<1%	2%	6%	5%	2%	9%	1%	<1%	8%	2%	5%	7%	<1%	7%	6%	1%	12%
Asian	2%	3%	1%	6%	1%	2%	2%	0%	0%	15%	1%	3%	0%	0%	5%	8%	3%	3%	1%	0%	1%	3%	2%	3%	2%	0%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	4%	3%	1%	3%
American Indian or Alaska Native	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	2%	2%	0%	0%	16%	<1%	3%	0%	0%	2%	9%	2%	<1%	4%	4%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	4%	2%	1%	4%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%
Middle Eastern or North African	<1%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	7%	1%	<1%	0%	0%	5%	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	2%	0%	<1%	<1%	6%	0%	1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%
Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	2%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	2%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%
[VOL] Some other race (specify)	4%	3%	5%	6%	4%	5%	2%	2%	<1%	18%	3%	4%	1%	2%	8%	8%	3%	6%	2%	6%	3%	4%	5%	4%	3%	10%	5%	3%	3%	5%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%
[VOL] More than one race	1%	2%	1%	4%	1%	1%	<1%	0%	0%	10%	2%	1%	0%	0%	8%	3%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	<1%	3%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	2%
[VOL] Refused	2%	2%	3%	1%	<.5%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	4%	<1%	4%	2%	<1%	3%	3%	2%	3%	1%	<1%	4%	<.5%
Number of respondents	713	345	365	128	152	243	173	431	149	114	311	396	210	219	91	170	417	98	108	90	294	252	167	317	353	43	206	216	249	209	249	255	260	281	139
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	53%	13%	21%	31%	33%	65%	18%	15%	39%	60%	28%	37%	10%	22%	60%	13%	16%	12%	41%	38%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	33%	32%	31%	39%	30%	39%	43%	13%

Note: Responses to questions after this point are reported only for respondents who completed the entire questionnaire.
Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or a member of another party?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Democrat	29%	19%	39%	34%	35%	22%	31%	24%	51%	33%	37%	25%	34%	16%	47%	41%	29%	32%	40%	15%	36%	29%	18%	61%	2%	14%	100%	0%	0%	80%	<.5%	15%	63%	<1%	30%
Republican	34%	37%	31%	18%	17%	39%	44%	38%	25%	21%	27%	37%	29%	44%	20%	24%	32%	27%	28%	57%	30%	33%	43%	3%	63%	9%	0%	100%	0%	3%	78%	9%	3%	67%	17%
Independent	32%	39%	27%	43%	41%	35%	21%	33%	22%	40%	33%	32%	34%	33%	29%	31%	35%	38%	23%	26%	29%	36%	32%	31%	31%	50%	0%	0%	100%	15%	18%	69%	29%	29%	47%
Another party	3%	4%	2%	5%	5%	3%	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	4%	3%	5%	2%	2%	3%	3%	7%	2%	4%	2%	3%	3%	3%	7%	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	6%	3%	3%	5%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	1%	2%	<.5%	2%	<1%	3%	1%	<1%	3%	1%	2%	<.5%	2%	3%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	<1%	4%	<1%	<.5%	20%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	<.5%	1%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

(If independent, another party or not sure) And as of today, do you lean more to:
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The Democratic Party	43%	44%	42%	57%	46%	38%	42%	44%	20%	62%	39%	46%	42%	45%	33%	51%	49%	49%	22%	29%	48%	48%	29%	90%	5%	20%	-	-	45%	92%	5%	46%	86%	6%	47%
The Republican Party	42%	44%	41%	40%	38%	49%	39%	46%	53%	20%	48%	40%	51%	43%	32%	33%	40%	36%	55%	49%	43%	42%	43%	4%	87%	6%	-	-	43%	2%	83%	37%	4%	82%	41%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	14%	12%	17%	3%	16%	13%	19%	11%	27%	18%	14%	14%	6%	12%	34%	16%	11%	15%	22%	23%	10%	10%	28%	6%	8%	74%	-	-	12%	6%	11%	17%	10%	12%	12%
Number of respondents	248	140	107	54	66	88	36	164	39	39	109	138	80	83	25	53	143	37	35	33	99	89	60	98	124	26			215	31	51	166	70	89	69
Percentage of total electorate	100%	56%	43%	16%	26%	34%	23%	70%	11%	17%	38%	62%	28%	42%	9%	20%	64%	14%	13%	9%	39%	37%	23%	43%	46%	11%			87%	15%	23%	62%	37%	38%	16%

Combined: Party identification and leaners
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The Democratic Party	45%	38%	51%	61%	57%	36%	41%	40%	56%	62%	51%	42%	49%	34%	58%	59%	48%	52%	47%	23%	52%	47%	29%	93%	4%	29%	100%	0%	45%	96%	2%	50%	92%	3%	55%
The Republican Party	49%	56%	44%	37%	35%	58%	54%	55%	38%	30%	44%	52%	48%	61%	31%	36%	48%	42%	46%	70%	45%	49%	60%	5%	93%	14%	0%	100%	43%	3%	96%	37%	5%	93%	38%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	5%	5%	1%	8%	5%	5%	4%	6%	8%	5%	5%	2%	5%	11%	5%	4%	6%	7%	7%	3%	4%	11%	2%	3%	57%	0%	0%	12%	1%	2%	13%	3%	4%	6%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Donald Trump	44%	47%	42%	27%	27%	51%	52%	51%	24%	30%	36%	48%	40%	58%	21%	28%	41%	36%	38%	73%	40%	43%	53%	2%	85%	14%	1%	88%	39%	3%	85%	32%	0%	100%	0%
Joe Biden	41%	34%	46%	25%	53%	38%	42%	38%	50%	47%	52%	34%	49%	29%	62%	43%	43%	43%	47%	17%	44%	43%	30%	84%	3%	29%	87%	4%	37%	89%	4%	38%	100%	0%	0%
I did not vote	11%	14%	8%	45%	12%	9%	1%	7%	22%	19%	7%	14%	6%	8%	13%	25%	12%	16%	9%	5%	13%	10%	10%	12%	9%	21%	12%	6%	17%	7%	7%	22%	0%	0%	100%
[VOL] Someone else	2%	3%	1%	2%	6%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	2%	1%	4%	2%	3%	3%	<.5%	1%	2%	16%	0%	1%	5%	0%	1%	6%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	<1%	4%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	3%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	1%	<.5%	7%	<1%	1%	20%	0%	2%	2%	0%	3%	3%	0%	0%	0%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

(Excluding "I did not vote") Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Donald Trump	49%	55%	45%	49%	31%	57%	52%	54%	31%	37%	39%	56%	42%	63%	24%	38%	47%	43%	41%	77%	45%	48%	59%	3%	93%	18%	2%	93%	47%	4%	91%	41%	0%	100%	-
Joe Biden	46%	40%	50%	45%	60%	42%	43%	41%	65%	57%	56%	39%	52%	32%	70%	57%	49%	52%	52%	17%	50%	48%	33%	96%	3%	37%	98%	4%	45%	96%	4%	48%	100%	0%	-
[VOL] Someone else	3%	4%	2%	4%	7%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	4%	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	2%	2%	5%	2%	3%	3%	<.5%	1%	2%	20%	0%	1%	6%	0%	1%	7%	0%	0%	-
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	4%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	1%	3%	3%	1%	2%	3%	2%	4%	1%	<1%	7%	<1%	2%	26%	0%	2%	2%	0%	3%	3%	0%	0%	-
Number of respondents	496	224	270	48	105	184	144	341	77	66	234	258	172	167	56	86	284	58	85	69	204	179	113	219	256	21	149	168	158	159	190	147	228	245
Percentage of total electorate	100%	46%	54%	8%	20%	32%	37%	70%	15%	13%	40%	59%	29%	40%	10%	18%	60%	12%	16%	13%	41%	36%	22%	44%	51%	5%	29%	36%	30%	33%	41%	26%	46%	49%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly approve	21%	16%	25%	6%	18%	18%	30%	21%	22%	17%	24%	19%	24%	19%	23%	19%	22%	26%	22%	4%	18%	25%	17%	45%	<.5%	6%	50%	2%	14%	49%	3%	15%	47%	<1%	7%
Somewhat approve	17%	18%	16%	17%	27%	14%	13%	15%	24%	16%	22%	14%	22%	10%	23%	20%	16%	21%	18%	15%	21%	16%	11%	33%	2%	16%	33%	3%	18%	31%	2%	21%	35%	<.5%	20%
Somewhat disapprove	11%	10%	12%	31%	13%	9%	4%	8%	10%	24%	8%	13%	7%	9%	8%	20%	13%	8%	6%	10%	12%	11%	8%	14%	8%	16%	9%	5%	18%	11%	6%	17%	9%	9%	27%
Strongly disapprove	49%	54%	45%	39%	38%	57%	52%	54%	39%	37%	44%	52%	45%	60%	40%	37%	47%	43%	50%	67%	45%	47%	61%	6%	90%	41%	5%	90%	46%	8%	89%	40%	7%	89%	40%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	2%	3%	7%	4%	1%	<1%	1%	4%	5%	3%	2%	1%	1%	6%	4%	2%	2%	4%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%	<.5%	22%	2%	<.5%	4%	1%	0%	7%	2%	1%	7%
NET Approve	37%	34%	40%	23%	46%	32%	42%	37%	46%	34%	45%	33%	46%	30%	46%	38%	38%	47%	40%	19%	39%	41%	28%	78%	2%	22%	83%	5%	32%	80%	5%	35%	82%	1%	27%
NET Disapprove	60%	64%	57%	70%	50%	67%	57%	62%	50%	61%	52%	65%	53%	69%	48%	57%	60%	51%	56%	77%	57%	58%	69%	20%	97%	56%	15%	95%	64%	19%	95%	57%	16%	98%	66%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of each of the following.
Donald Trump
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	32%	32%	32%	11%	18%	38%	41%	36%	22%	17%	24%	37%	25%	45%	16%	21%	32%	23%	32%	41%	28%	31%	39%	1%	63%	0%	<1%	70%	22%	3%	67%	16%	1%	67%	12%
Somewhat favorable	16%	20%	12%	29%	17%	16%	12%	15%	20%	13%	13%	18%	13%	17%	16%	18%	13%	26%	13%	24%	15%	12%	24%	2%	27%	24%	4%	20%	20%	2%	23%	21%	3%	22%	24%
Somewhat unfavorable	7%	8%	6%	13%	10%	8%	2%	6%	9%	12%	9%	6%	9%	3%	8%	11%	8%	5%	5%	9%	7%	9%	5%	6%	6%	26%	4%	4%	13%	6%	4%	11%	6%	6%	15%
Very unfavorable	43%	38%	48%	47%	54%	36%	44%	42%	43%	55%	53%	37%	52%	34%	57%	44%	46%	44%	46%	24%	48%	46%	29%	89%	2%	39%	89%	5%	42%	85%	5%	49%	87%	2%	48%
[VOL] Have not heard of	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	<1%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	<.5%	<1%	3%	<1%	<1%	6%	2%	1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	3%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	5%	3%	<1%	1%	3%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	1%
NET Favorable	48%	52%	44%	40%	35%	54%	52%	52%	42%	30%	37%	54%	38%	62%	32%	39%	45%	49%	45%	65%	43%	43%	63%	3%	90%	24%	4%	91%	42%	5%	90%	37%	5%	90%	36%
NET Unfavorable	50%	45%	54%	60%	65%	44%	46%	48%	51%	66%	62%	43%	61%	37%	65%	55%	54%	49%	51%	33%	55%	54%	34%	95%	9%	65%	93%	8%	56%	91%	10%	60%	93%	8%	63%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Kamala [COMMA-luh] Harris
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	29%	20%	37%	23%	29%	26%	35%	27%	38%	36%	35%	26%	35%	21%	38%	37%	33%	27%	31%	10%	30%	36%	17%	64%	<1%	6%	75%	2%	17%	66%	3%	25%	64%	2%	20%
Somewhat favorable	16%	19%	14%	36%	21%	15%	8%	15%	18%	21%	18%	15%	16%	14%	21%	19%	15%	27%	15%	12%	18%	14%	16%	31%	3%	16%	19%	2%	28%	24%	3%	25%	26%	<1%	41%
Somewhat unfavorable	9%	10%	7%	14%	16%	9%	3%	8%	11%	12%	10%	8%	9%	6%	11%	12%	10%	8%	10%	6%	8%	8%	12%	4%	12%	24%	2%	7%	18%	3%	7%	18%	6%	11%	16%
Very unfavorable	43%	47%	40%	26%	30%	49%	52%	49%	28%	28%	36%	48%	39%	58%	26%	28%	41%	33%	41%	70%	41%	41%	52%	2%	83%	28%	2%	88%	33%	5%	86%	27%	3%	85%	20%
[VOL] Have not heard of	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	3%	1%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	4%	4%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	4%	4%	1%	3%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	3%	<.5%	1%	22%	<1%	<1%	3%	<1%	<1%	5%	<1%	2%	2%
NET Favorable	45%	39%	51%	59%	51%	40%	43%	42%	56%	56%	52%	42%	51%	35%	59%	55%	48%	54%	46%	22%	48%	50%	33%	94%	4%	21%	95%	4%	45%	90%	6%	51%	90%	3%	60%
NET Unfavorable	52%	58%	48%	40%	46%	57%	55%	57%	39%	40%	46%	56%	48%	64%	37%	40%	50%	41%	51%	76%	49%	49%	64%	5%	95%	52%	4%	95%	51%	9%	93%	45%	9%	95%	36%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

What one issue is most important in deciding your vote this November?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
[VOL] The economy (including jobs and the stock market)	26%	30%	24%	12%	27%	34%	24%	27%	34%	17%	27%	26%	28%	26%	25%	28%	27%	18%	25%	34%	28%	24%	27%	13%	40%	9%	15%	41%	25%	15%	39%	22%	13%	39%	25%
[VOL] Immigration	21%	22%	20%	14%	10%	22%	30%	24%	16%	12%	17%	23%	19%	27%	9%	16%	19%	25%	16%	28%	16%	21%	29%	5%	34%	29%	7%	36%	17%	8%	38%	12%	7%	35%	9%
[VOL] Abortion	18%	8%	27%	34%	18%	14%	14%	14%	24%	27%	20%	16%	15%	13%	34%	21%	19%	23%	16%	4%	16%	22%	13%	34%	3%	15%	37%	5%	15%	38%	4%	14%	32%	4%	19%
[VOL] The state of democracy/corruption	8%	11%	5%	<.5%	8%	7%	11%	9%	2%	11%	10%	6%	11%	7%	8%	5%	8%	12%	5%	7%	7%	7%	10%	14%	2%	3%	8%	2%	14%	8%	3%	14%	15%	3%	5%
[VOL] Character/competence of candidate	4%	3%	5%	0%	5%	2%	6%	5%	<1%	1%	4%	4%	5%	5%	3%	<.5%	4%	4%	5%	2%	4%	4%	3%	5%	4%	0%	4%	4%	3%	4%	5%	4%	4%	4%	2%
[VOL] Dislike of opposing candidate	3%	3%	3%	0%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	0%	3%	3%	3%	4%	2%	1%	3%	0%	7%	2%	2%	4%	2%	4%	2%	0%	5%	3%	1%	4%	3%	1%	4%	2%	2%
[VOL] Inflation and the cost of living	2%	2%	3%	7%	2%	<.5%	3%	<1%	3%	8%	2%	2%	2%	<.5%	3%	6%	2%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	1%	3%	1%	10%	3%	2%	3%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	8%
[VOL] Foreign policy	2%	3%	1%	3%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	2%	1%	6%	2%	2%	1%	3%	0%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	8%	<1%	1%	4%	2%	1%	4%	3%	2%	1%
[VOL] Taxes	2%	3%	<1%	6%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	6%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	1%	<1%	5%	2%	2%	2%	0%	3%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	0%	2%	<.5%	3%	2%	0%	4%	1%	1%	6%
[VOL] Health care	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	<.5%	2%	0%	1%	1%	2%	2%	3%	0%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	0%	<1%	3%	0%	3%	0%	2%	<1%	0%	3%	<1%	0%	4%	3%	<.5%	<.5%
[VOL] Equality/inequality	1%	1%	1%	4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	<1%	0%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	<.5%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	2%
[VOL] Gun policies	1%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	<.5%	0%	<1%	4%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<.5%	0%	4%	1%	3%	0%	1%	0%	3%	1%	2%	<1%	0%	3%	0%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	<.5%	1%
[VOL] Climate change	<1%	1%	<1%	2%	0%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	0%	2%	<.5%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	<1%	0%	2%	0%	2%	2%	0%	<1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	0%	<1%
[VOL] Education	<1%	<1%	1%	<.5%	3%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	2%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	5%	0%	<1%	0%	2%	0%	2%	<.5%	0%	1%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	0%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	<.5%
[VOL] Polarization/division	<1%	<.5%	<1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	0%	1%	<1%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	4%	0%	2%	0%	<1%	<.5%	3%	1%	0%	<.5%	1%	0%	<1%	<1%	0%	<1%
[VOL] Russia/the war in Ukraine	<1%	1%	0%	<1%	2%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	1%	0%	<.5%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	<.5%	1%	0%	<1%
[VOL] The Middle East/Israel/Palestinians	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	3%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	3%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Student loans	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	3%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	<.5%	2%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	1%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	1%	0%	0%	4%
[VOL] Election integrity	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	<1%	0%	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Crime	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	2%	0%	<.5%	0%	1%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%
[VOL] Racism/racial issues	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%
[VOL] China	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Other, specify	4%	6%	3%	5%	7%	5%	2%	5%	<1%	2%	2%	5%	3%	7%	2%	2%	4%	4%	5%	6%	6%	1%	5%	4%	5%	4%	4%	3%	6%	3%	3%	6%	4%	4%	6%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	3%	<1%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	5%	3%	1%	4%	2%	1%	10%	3%	<1%	3%	3%	<1%	4%	2%	1%	6%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Which candidate do you think would do a better job of handling the issue you think is most important?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Kamala [COMMA-luh] Harris, the Democrat	45%	40%	50%	55%	56%	37%	42%	41%	50%	61%	51%	41%	50%	35%	58%	54%	49%	44%	49%	22%	49%	50%	28%	96%	1%	19%	93%	4%	45%	92%	4%	48%	93%	2%	52%
Donald Trump, the Republican	52%	57%	47%	42%	37%	60%	56%	57%	42%	35%	44%	57%	47%	65%	34%	40%	50%	51%	45%	73%	46%	48%	68%	2%	98%	35%	4%	96%	50%	6%	96%	43%	4%	96%	39%
[VOL] Neither candidate	2%	1%	2%	2%	5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	3%	2%	3%	<1%	2%	0%	4%	2%	<1%	1%	4%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	18%	1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	0%	5%	1%	<1%	4%
[VOL] Someone else; specify	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	<.5%	5%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	<.5%	3%	4%	<1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	0%	<.5%	28%	2%	<.5%	3%	1%	0%	4%	1%	1%	5%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Do you think abortion should be always legal, mostly legal, mostly illegal or always illegal?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Always legal	37%	34%	41%	46%	44%	37%	33%	38%	35%	45%	43%	34%	43%	33%	46%	37%	40%	44%	41%	15%	41%	39%	30%	67%	13%	14%	69%	13%	35%	66%	13%	40%	67%	11%	38%
Mostly legal	28%	35%	23%	33%	28%	28%	29%	30%	26%	28%	31%	27%	32%	28%	27%	27%	26%	25%	28%	43%	27%	27%	33%	24%	31%	35%	21%	28%	38%	23%	30%	32%	22%	31%	37%
Mostly illegal	19%	16%	22%	16%	16%	22%	22%	22%	15%	10%	16%	22%	17%	26%	13%	13%	20%	20%	14%	22%	16%	22%	20%	4%	33%	20%	4%	36%	15%	4%	34%	16%	3%	33%	20%
Always illegal	9%	8%	8%	5%	4%	8%	11%	7%	11%	9%	6%	10%	6%	8%	6%	12%	8%	8%	9%	14%	9%	7%	12%	1%	16%	5%	2%	19%	4%	3%	17%	3%	2%	17%	2%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	7%	6%	0%	9%	6%	5%	4%	13%	7%	5%	7%	3%	5%	9%	10%	6%	3%	7%	6%	7%	6%	5%	4%	6%	25%	5%	5%	8%	5%	5%	8%	5%	7%	4%
NET Legal	66%	69%	64%	79%	72%	64%	63%	67%	61%	74%	73%	62%	75%	62%	73%	65%	66%	69%	69%	58%	68%	65%	63%	91%	45%	49%	89%	40%	73%	88%	43%	72%	90%	43%	74%
NET Illegal	28%	25%	31%	21%	20%	29%	33%	29%	26%	20%	22%	32%	22%	34%	19%	25%	28%	28%	23%	36%	25%	29%	32%	5%	49%	26%	5%	55%	19%	7%	51%	20%	5%	50%	22%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

In 2015, the Supreme Court ruled that the Constitution guarantees a right to same-sex marriage. Do you favor or oppose that decision?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly favor	53%	47%	59%	70%	68%	48%	45%	54%	56%	51%	64%	47%	63%	47%	69%	47%	55%	58%	62%	30%	57%	53%	48%	81%	30%	38%	81%	23%	60%	75%	28%	64%	78%	28%	71%
Somewhat favor	15%	17%	13%	19%	12%	14%	18%	16%	14%	13%	13%	17%	13%	17%	10%	16%	12%	18%	14%	26%	16%	13%	17%	11%	19%	17%	14%	17%	16%	15%	15%	16%	12%	20%	9%
Somewhat oppose	8%	13%	4%	5%	8%	8%	11%	8%	8%	12%	8%	8%	8%	7%	8%	11%	9%	8%	6%	6%	6%	12%	6%	3%	12%	12%	1%	12%	11%	3%	14%	6%	4%	11%	11%
Strongly oppose	17%	14%	20%	6%	5%	19%	24%	18%	14%	15%	10%	21%	11%	23%	8%	16%	17%	13%	13%	28%	18%	15%	19%	3%	30%	23%	1%	38%	9%	4%	35%	8%	3%	32%	4%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	8%	4%	<1%	7%	10%	3%	5%	8%	9%	5%	7%	5%	5%	6%	10%	7%	2%	5%	9%	3%	7%	10%	2%	9%	10%	3%	9%	4%	3%	9%	6%	3%	10%	5%
NET Favor	68%	64%	72%	89%	80%	62%	62%	70%	70%	65%	77%	64%	77%	65%	79%	63%	67%	77%	77%	56%	73%	66%	65%	92%	49%	55%	94%	40%	76%	90%	42%	80%	90%	48%	80%
NET Oppose	25%	27%	24%	11%	13%	28%	35%	25%	22%	26%	18%	29%	19%	30%	16%	27%	26%	21%	18%	34%	24%	27%	26%	6%	42%	35%	3%	51%	20%	7%	49%	14%	7%	43%	15%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Kamala Harris or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following:
The economy
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Kamala Harris	42%	35%	47%	45%	54%	34%	41%	39%	47%	52%	48%	38%	48%	33%	52%	49%	45%	42%	46%	21%	45%	47%	27%	90%	<.5%	23%	89%	3%	39%	90%	4%	41%	91%	<.5%	38%
Donald Trump	56%	62%	51%	53%	40%	65%	58%	59%	50%	46%	49%	60%	50%	66%	44%	49%	53%	54%	52%	77%	50%	53%	72%	8%	99%	63%	8%	97%	58%	9%	96%	53%	8%	99%	54%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	1%	6%	2%	<.5%	2%	3%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	3%	2%	2%	4%	2%	1%	4%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<1%	14%	3%	0%	3%	<1%	0%	6%	2%	<1%	8%
MARGIN Trump +14 Calculated using candidates’ unrounded vote shares
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Abortion
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Kamala Harris	54%	52%	55%	69%	68%	47%	48%	51%	60%	66%	63%	49%	61%	44%	70%	60%	56%	59%	57%	30%	59%	53%	45%	97%	15%	52%	94%	12%	61%	92%	16%	63%	96%	13%	66%
Donald Trump	41%	43%	40%	29%	27%	47%	50%	46%	31%	26%	33%	46%	35%	55%	27%	31%	39%	35%	39%	64%	37%	41%	50%	<1%	80%	21%	2%	84%	33%	5%	79%	30%	2%	81%	23%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	5%	5%	5%	2%	5%	6%	2%	3%	9%	8%	4%	5%	3%	2%	4%	10%	5%	6%	4%	6%	5%	5%	5%	2%	5%	27%	4%	4%	6%	3%	4%	7%	2%	5%	12%
MARGIN Harris +12 Calculated using candidates’ unrounded vote shares
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Immigration
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Kamala Harris	42%	35%	48%	56%	50%	34%	42%	40%	48%	51%	51%	38%	50%	34%	55%	47%	44%	45%	51%	21%	47%	45%	29%	89%	2%	25%	93%	4%	37%	89%	4%	44%	89%	<1%	47%
Donald Trump	55%	61%	50%	42%	48%	63%	57%	59%	49%	42%	48%	60%	50%	65%	38%	49%	54%	52%	46%	77%	49%	54%	69%	9%	97%	58%	5%	96%	59%	10%	95%	51%	10%	98%	44%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	3%	<1%	1%	4%	7%	2%	2%	0%	1%	7%	4%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%	17%	2%	<.5%	4%	2%	<.5%	5%	1%	1%	9%
MARGIN Trump +13 Calculated using candidates’ unrounded vote shares
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Democracy
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Kamala Harris	48%	42%	53%	60%	59%	42%	44%	44%	58%	61%	56%	44%	53%	37%	66%	57%	50%	53%	51%	27%	53%	52%	33%	97%	4%	44%	97%	5%	48%	94%	6%	54%	96%	4%	57%
Donald Trump	47%	52%	44%	38%	34%	53%	53%	53%	38%	31%	39%	52%	42%	61%	30%	36%	46%	43%	43%	64%	42%	45%	61%	2%	92%	20%	1%	90%	46%	5%	90%	37%	4%	91%	34%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	5%	6%	4%	2%	7%	5%	3%	4%	4%	8%	5%	4%	5%	2%	3%	7%	3%	4%	6%	10%	5%	3%	6%	2%	4%	36%	1%	5%	6%	1%	4%	9%	<.5%	5%	9%
MARGIN Harris +1 Calculated using candidates’ unrounded vote shares
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

(Ask if undecided or persuadable voter) What, if anything, is your biggest concern about Donald Trump?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
[VOL] Personality/behavior	33%	34%	33%	32%	38%	44%	11%	37%	31%	28%	58%	17%	55%	19%	68%	15%	36%	32%	29%	21%	29%	42%	30%	30%	46%	18%	32%	32%	37%	20%	38%	36%	24%	39%	36%
[VOL] Ability to do the job	8%	10%	6%	3%	3%	3%	28%	7%	7%	12%	2%	13%	0%	14%	0%	12%	1%	17%	17%	21%	8%	0%	17%	7%	3%	17%	7%	6%	11%	7%	4%	10%	14%	16%	2%
[VOL] Race/racism/sexism	7%	9%	5%	8%	13%	8%	0%	2%	10%	20%	2%	11%	3%	0%	0%	19%	10%	5%	4%	0%	8%	12%	3%	15%	4%	3%	11%	0%	8%	19%	<.5%	6%	17%	0%	5%
[VOL] Ethics/honesty	7%	7%	7%	<.5%	11%	9%	6%	7%	0%	19%	4%	9%	4%	11%	4%	8%	7%	0%	6%	34%	10%	5%	4%	8%	5%	8%	6%	11%	5%	3%	7%	8%	4%	6%	8%
[VOL] Threat to democracy	6%	1%	8%	6%	12%	0%	0%	9%	3%	0%	9%	2%	13%	1%	2%	2%	2%	10%	13%	0%	6%	5%	6%	4%	5%	9%	5%	0%	4%	6%	0%	7%	10%	4%	3%
[VOL] Abortion	5%	4%	6%	10%	2%	8%	0%	7%	2%	4%	9%	2%	14%	0%	1%	3%	7%	0%	3%	0%	5%	5%	4%	9%	5%	0%	7%	8%	4%	8%	7%	3%	5%	4%	7%
[VOL] Immigration	4%	<1%	8%	5%	0%	6%	4%	2%	9%	0%	<1%	5%	0%	3%	2%	7%	4%	8%	0%	0%	<1%	3%	7%	3%	3%	4%	3%	0%	5%	2%	0%	5%	5%	0%	7%
[VOL] Court cases/convictions	3%	4%	<1%	11%	0%	2%	0%	2%	3%	6%	1%	4%	2%	2%	0%	6%	2%	2%	6%	0%	<1%	7%	2%	5%	<.5%	4%	0%	6%	4%	3%	0%	4%	2%	<1%	7%
[VOL] Don't know/refused	3%	0%	7%	0%	7%	3%	0%	4%	3%	0%	2%	3%	0%	8%	6%	0%	4%	5%	0%	0%	7%	0%	0%	0%	5%	3%	4%	0%	3%	4%	0%	3%	3%	9%	0%
[VOL] Economy	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Other (specify)	7%	9%	5%	11%	5%	11%	0%	5%	13%	2%	5%	9%	3%	8%	9%	9%	9%	11%	0%	0%	12%	6%	2%	6%	8%	7%	7%	14%	6%	12%	12%	4%	5%	4%	14%
[VOL] No biggest concern	18%	20%	15%	13%	7%	7%	51%	19%	21%	9%	7%	25%	7%	32%	7%	20%	19%	10%	21%	24%	12%	15%	27%	13%	16%	26%	17%	24%	12%	17%	31%	14%	11%	17%	12%
Number of respondents	130	76	53	42	32	41	13	64	44	21	60	69	38	25	21	44	71	26	24	9	51	40	39	44	55	31	22	16	79	22	18	90	32	27	60
Percentage of total electorate	100%	57%	41%	21%	27%	29%	22%	50%	32%	17%	40%	59%	25%	24%	14%	35%	55%	20%	21%	4%	38%	29%	33%	33%	39%	27%	21%	12%	56%	21%	18%	61%	31%	23%	32%

(Ask if undecided or persuadable voter) What, if anything, is your biggest concern about Kamala Harris?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
[VOL] Personality/judgement/attitude/ability	20%	17%	26%	15%	11%	17%	43%	22%	19%	11%	21%	20%	9%	37%	38%	8%	26%	12%	12%	23%	10%	32%	22%	12%	17%	34%	6%	15%	21%	<.5%	38%	22%	5%	19%	21%
[VOL] Honesty/follow through	12%	16%	7%	7%	19%	14%	6%	9%	7%	30%	7%	16%	9%	9%	4%	20%	12%	5%	15%	31%	12%	18%	7%	22%	11%	1%	20%	18%	10%	30%	7%	7%	19%	12%	10%
[VOL] Economy	11%	10%	13%	13%	16%	11%	4%	16%	8%	4%	11%	11%	17%	15%	0%	9%	19%	4%	0%	0%	17%	7%	8%	12%	14%	4%	7%	6%	16%	7%	7%	14%	13%	11%	11%
[VOL] Don’t know enough about her	7%	8%	5%	11%	8%	5%	0%	9%	4%	8%	11%	4%	17%	<1%	3%	7%	7%	10%	6%	0%	12%	7%	2%	6%	9%	5%	7%	0%	8%	7%	8%	7%	<1%	13%	9%
[VOL] Lack of experience	4%	5%	1%	7%	4%	3%	0%	3%	6%	0%	5%	3%	3%	4%	8%	2%	3%	10%	0%	0%	5%	3%	2%	<1%	5%	6%	5%	0%	5%	0%	0%	6%	0%	7%	6%
[VOL] Track record	3%	3%	4%	2%	3%	6%	0%	4%	3%	0%	4%	2%	7%	0%	0%	3%	2%	9%	0%	0%	2%	2%	5%	2%	6%	0%	3%	0%	4%	0%	5%	3%	2%	4%	4%
[VOL] Ideology	3%	3%	3%	0%	2%	3%	6%	3%	4%	0%	7%	0%	6%	0%	10%	0%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	4%	0%	7%	0%	0%	11%	3%	0%	8%	2%	4%	7%	0%
[VOL] Immigration	3%	3%	2%	1%	6%	3%	0%	<1%	3%	8%	3%	3%	1%	0%	7%	4%	5%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	7%	4%	4%	0%	0%	9%	3%	0%	0%	4%	0%	2%	4%
[VOL] Other (specify)	24%	18%	28%	25%	25%	24%	19%	27%	15%	31%	20%	25%	21%	30%	18%	22%	14%	31%	42%	24%	26%	21%	24%	18%	19%	38%	17%	25%	24%	23%	21%	25%	36%	17%	18%
[VOL] No biggest concern	12%	16%	8%	17%	3%	11%	22%	6%	26%	7%	9%	15%	8%	4%	13%	22%	6%	17%	25%	18%	16%	2%	17%	22%	7%	7%	36%	10%	5%	30%	5%	8%	19%	9%	12%
[VOL] Don't know/refused	1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	3%	0%	<1%	3%	0%	<1%	2%	1%	0%	0%	3%	2%	2%	0%	4%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	<.5%	3%	0%	5%	1%	4%	0%	1%	0%	<1%	4%
Number of respondents	130	76	53	42	32	41	13	64	44	21	60	69	38	25	21	44	71	26	24	9	51	40	39	44	55	31	22	16	79	22	18	90	32	27	60
Percentage of total electorate	100%	57%	41%	21%	27%	29%	22%	50%	32%	17%	40%	59%	25%	24%	14%	35%	55%	20%	21%	4%	38%	29%	33%	33%	39%	27%	21%	12%	56%	21%	18%	61%	31%	23%	32%

Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The obstacles that once made it harder for women than men to get ahead are now largely gone	47%	53%	42%	51%	45%	49%	48%	50%	45%	36%	44%	50%	46%	53%	36%	44%	45%	41%	46%	67%	48%	43%	52%	20%	72%	53%	24%	69%	45%	23%	70%	42%	20%	69%	50%
There are still significant obstacles that make it harder for women to get ahead than men	49%	41%	55%	48%	51%	48%	47%	46%	53%	56%	54%	45%	52%	42%	61%	51%	51%	55%	49%	27%	48%	53%	43%	78%	23%	34%	75%	24%	50%	74%	24%	53%	78%	24%	47%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	4%	5%	3%	1%	4%	3%	5%	4%	2%	9%	2%	5%	2%	4%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	6%	4%	4%	5%	2%	5%	13%	1%	6%	5%	3%	5%	4%	2%	7%	3%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Business corporations make too much profit	60%	52%	67%	74%	72%	57%	51%	59%	70%	60%	55%	64%	54%	62%	60%	69%	63%	57%	61%	48%	68%	58%	49%	83%	41%	45%	86%	38%	58%	85%	38%	63%	82%	37%	80%
Most corporations make a fair and reasonable amount of profit	33%	42%	26%	23%	23%	34%	44%	36%	22%	31%	41%	28%	42%	32%	37%	20%	30%	36%	32%	49%	24%	35%	48%	13%	51%	38%	10%	54%	35%	11%	54%	30%	15%	53%	16%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	7%	6%	7%	3%	5%	9%	5%	6%	8%	9%	4%	8%	4%	6%	3%	10%	7%	7%	7%	3%	8%	7%	3%	4%	8%	17%	4%	8%	7%	4%	8%	7%	4%	9%	4%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
America’s openness to people from all over the world is essential to who we are as a nation	61%	61%	62%	77%	77%	56%	55%	57%	70%	77%	70%	57%	68%	49%	75%	73%	65%	69%	63%	34%	68%	63%	46%	92%	34%	63%	94%	30%	65%	89%	31%	72%	91%	32%	77%
If America is too open to people from all over the world, we risk losing our identity as a nation	32%	34%	30%	23%	19%	36%	41%	36%	26%	17%	25%	37%	25%	45%	22%	22%	29%	28%	30%	55%	25%	31%	46%	6%	56%	22%	2%	58%	31%	7%	58%	24%	7%	58%	20%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	7%	6%	8%	<.5%	4%	9%	4%	7%	4%	6%	6%	6%	7%	7%	2%	5%	7%	3%	7%	11%	7%	6%	8%	2%	10%	15%	4%	12%	4%	5%	10%	5%	3%	10%	3%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
It is best for the future of our country to be active in world affairs	41%	37%	45%	29%	41%	36%	51%	43%	34%	39%	53%	34%	55%	35%	48%	32%	42%	36%	42%	40%	41%	46%	33%	65%	22%	18%	62%	28%	38%	62%	26%	40%	67%	22%	28%
We should pay less attention to problems overseas and concentrate on problems here at home	54%	61%	47%	68%	56%	58%	45%	52%	57%	58%	43%	61%	42%	60%	47%	62%	52%	61%	55%	54%	54%	50%	61%	31%	74%	53%	32%	67%	60%	34%	68%	57%	30%	74%	67%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	5%	2%	7%	3%	2%	6%	4%	4%	8%	2%	4%	5%	3%	5%	5%	6%	6%	2%	3%	6%	5%	4%	6%	4%	3%	29%	6%	5%	2%	5%	7%	3%	4%	4%	5%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

(Ask only in AZ) If the 2024 election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Arizona Proposition 139, a constitutional amendment that would provide a fundamental right to abortion up until fetal viability, or about the 24th week of pregnancy?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	58%	62%	54%	71%	71%	52%	54%	56%	60%	67%	66%	53%	65%	50%	69%	61%	58%	63%	62%	47%	63%	53%	55%	87%	33%	45%	84%	30%	63%	83%	31%	66%	86%	29%	71%
No	35%	30%	40%	29%	22%	40%	39%	38%	30%	24%	27%	40%	28%	45%	23%	29%	36%	23%	30%	48%	33%	39%	33%	9%	60%	27%	11%	63%	28%	12%	62%	24%	9%	61%	23%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	7%	9%	6%	<.5%	7%	8%	7%	6%	10%	9%	7%	7%	7%	5%	8%	10%	6%	14%	8%	5%	5%	8%	11%	5%	7%	28%	5%	7%	9%	5%	7%	10%	5%	9%	6%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Do you think Donald Trump’s policies have helped people like you, hurt people like you, or haven’t made much of a difference either way?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Helped people like you	46%	49%	44%	37%	31%	53%	51%	52%	30%	33%	38%	51%	40%	60%	28%	34%	44%	39%	44%	66%	42%	43%	59%	3%	87%	21%	3%	87%	43%	7%	87%	34%	3%	88%	34%
Hurt people like you	34%	28%	39%	41%	43%	26%	36%	31%	39%	48%	43%	29%	42%	23%	46%	42%	37%	38%	39%	10%	37%	39%	22%	73%	<1%	25%	75%	4%	31%	71%	4%	36%	72%	<1%	33%
Haven't made much of a difference either way	19%	21%	17%	22%	26%	20%	11%	17%	30%	17%	20%	18%	18%	15%	26%	23%	18%	22%	14%	25%	19%	18%	19%	23%	12%	48%	21%	10%	25%	21%	10%	29%	24%	11%	33%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	2%	<1%	0%	2%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	3%	0%	1%	0%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	6%	<.5%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Do you think Kamala Harris’s policies would help people like you, hurt people like you, or wouldn't make much of a difference either way?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Help people like you	36%	25%	46%	49%	39%	29%	36%	32%	45%	49%	39%	35%	38%	28%	46%	48%	38%	38%	40%	18%	36%	43%	25%	78%	<1%	14%	83%	3%	31%	77%	3%	37%	75%	<1%	44%
Hurt people like you	43%	47%	39%	27%	29%	51%	48%	48%	30%	27%	40%	44%	42%	52%	32%	27%	41%	37%	39%	61%	38%	40%	54%	2%	80%	35%	1%	80%	40%	3%	81%	34%	4%	80%	25%
Wouldn't make much of a difference either way	20%	25%	14%	23%	26%	18%	16%	18%	22%	24%	21%	19%	19%	17%	22%	24%	19%	23%	21%	19%	24%	14%	20%	20%	17%	45%	16%	14%	26%	19%	15%	26%	21%	17%	26%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	1%	<1%	6%	1%	<.5%	2%	2%	0%	<1%	2%	1%	3%	0%	2%	2%	3%	0%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	6%	<1%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	3%	<1%	2%	5%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Society is better off if people make marriage and having children a priority	42%	47%	37%	36%	34%	46%	47%	42%	47%	30%	36%	45%	36%	46%	33%	42%	40%	40%	42%	49%	36%	43%	50%	15%	66%	44%	16%	66%	40%	15%	68%	35%	18%	65%	35%
Society is just as well off if people have priorities other than marriage and children	51%	46%	55%	62%	60%	46%	48%	51%	44%	60%	60%	45%	60%	46%	64%	45%	53%	52%	49%	42%	55%	51%	44%	79%	27%	40%	76%	28%	51%	77%	26%	57%	76%	26%	61%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	7%	7%	8%	2%	6%	8%	5%	7%	9%	9%	4%	9%	4%	8%	3%	12%	7%	8%	9%	9%	9%	6%	6%	6%	8%	16%	7%	6%	9%	8%	6%	9%	6%	10%	4%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Immigrants today strengthen our country because of their hard work and talents	56%	54%	56%	75%	72%	53%	42%	52%	68%	62%	64%	51%	61%	45%	73%	62%	58%	59%	62%	31%	61%	58%	42%	94%	21%	56%	95%	16%	61%	89%	17%	70%	92%	19%	71%
Immigrants today are a burden on our country because they take our jobs, housing and health care	38%	40%	36%	24%	23%	38%	50%	41%	29%	29%	30%	42%	32%	48%	23%	32%	35%	37%	29%	63%	35%	33%	50%	5%	68%	32%	4%	75%	31%	9%	72%	22%	6%	69%	26%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	7%	6%	8%	<1%	6%	9%	7%	7%	3%	9%	6%	7%	6%	7%	4%	6%	7%	5%	9%	5%	4%	9%	8%	1%	11%	12%	2%	9%	9%	1%	11%	7%	2%	12%	3%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The U.S. has lost out from increased trade because it has cost jobs	54%	52%	56%	49%	52%	61%	50%	52%	58%	55%	48%	57%	45%	58%	55%	57%	52%	50%	53%	66%	58%	49%	55%	34%	72%	47%	37%	69%	54%	38%	68%	52%	35%	72%	53%
The U.S. has gained from increased trade because it has helped lower prices	32%	35%	29%	42%	35%	24%	35%	34%	30%	26%	36%	30%	37%	31%	30%	28%	33%	35%	32%	24%	30%	35%	31%	47%	18%	31%	44%	19%	36%	43%	20%	35%	46%	18%	40%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	14%	13%	15%	9%	13%	16%	15%	14%	12%	18%	17%	13%	18%	11%	15%	15%	15%	15%	15%	11%	13%	17%	14%	18%	10%	22%	19%	11%	10%	19%	11%	14%	19%	11%	6%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Society should accept transgender people as having the gender they identify with	59%	54%	63%	70%	64%	60%	53%	56%	70%	63%	65%	56%	64%	50%	65%	67%	61%	62%	61%	42%	61%	62%	50%	88%	34%	43%	92%	28%	63%	88%	33%	63%	87%	33%	72%
Society should NOT accept transgender people as having the gender they identify with	33%	38%	28%	27%	26%	33%	38%	35%	25%	29%	28%	35%	29%	39%	28%	27%	32%	25%	26%	51%	30%	31%	39%	9%	54%	38%	5%	60%	29%	9%	54%	30%	10%	55%	23%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	8%	8%	9%	3%	10%	7%	9%	9%	5%	8%	8%	9%	7%	10%	8%	6%	7%	12%	13%	7%	8%	7%	11%	3%	12%	20%	3%	12%	8%	3%	13%	8%	4%	12%	5%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

How much, if at all, do you think the legacy of slavery affects the position of Black people in American society today, a great deal, a fair amount, not much or not at all?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
A great deal	24%	20%	28%	37%	34%	22%	16%	20%	30%	40%	27%	23%	25%	16%	32%	36%	24%	24%	35%	7%	27%	24%	18%	48%	4%	9%	54%	5%	18%	49%	6%	21%	46%	4%	32%
A fair amount	25%	24%	26%	30%	27%	24%	26%	26%	26%	25%	31%	22%	31%	22%	32%	22%	25%	26%	22%	29%	22%	28%	27%	36%	15%	26%	31%	14%	30%	32%	14%	33%	38%	13%	26%
Not much	21%	22%	19%	15%	18%	24%	22%	21%	21%	16%	24%	19%	24%	20%	21%	17%	21%	24%	18%	17%	18%	25%	19%	10%	30%	27%	7%	28%	26%	9%	29%	22%	11%	28%	25%
Not at all	26%	29%	24%	17%	15%	24%	35%	29%	19%	16%	16%	32%	18%	37%	11%	21%	24%	23%	21%	44%	27%	21%	33%	5%	45%	31%	7%	48%	22%	9%	46%	18%	5%	48%	12%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	5%	3%	2%	6%	6%	1%	4%	4%	3%	2%	5%	2%	5%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	5%	2%	4%	1%	6%	8%	1%	5%	5%	1%	5%	6%	1%	6%	5%
NET Fair amount/Great deal	49%	44%	54%	67%	61%	46%	42%	46%	55%	65%	57%	45%	56%	38%	64%	58%	50%	50%	57%	37%	49%	52%	45%	84%	20%	34%	85%	19%	48%	81%	20%	54%	83%	17%	59%
NET Not much/Not at all	47%	51%	43%	31%	33%	48%	57%	50%	40%	32%	40%	51%	42%	57%	32%	39%	46%	47%	39%	60%	45%	46%	51%	15%	75%	58%	14%	76%	47%	18%	75%	40%	15%	76%	37%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

(If country headed in wrong direction) Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Our problems are so bad that America is in danger of failing as a nation	44%	42%	47%	42%	34%	55%	42%	47%	34%	40%	41%	46%	43%	51%	35%	37%	42%	42%	42%	61%	40%	42%	56%	16%	71%	41%	13%	76%	40%	17%	72%	37%	15%	72%	32%
Our problems are bad, but America is not in danger of failing as a nation any time soon	16%	20%	13%	24%	19%	13%	16%	18%	14%	11%	16%	16%	16%	20%	18%	10%	16%	11%	19%	21%	18%	16%	14%	12%	19%	19%	12%	18%	18%	9%	18%	21%	12%	20%	21%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	3%	4%	<1%	2%	<1%	0%	1%	5%	1%	0%	2%	3%	2%	2%	0%	1%	1%	4%	<1%	<.5%	2%	2%	1%	1%	0%	<.5%	7%
[PREVIOUSLY] Country is on the right track	29%	30%	28%	27%	25%	26%	34%	26%	40%	32%	32%	28%	32%	23%	35%	38%	32%	36%	26%	12%	31%	32%	22%	58%	6%	5%	58%	4%	32%	56%	6%	31%	58%	4%	30%
[PREVIOUSLY] Don't know/Refused	9%	8%	10%	6%	20%	4%	7%	8%	9%	13%	10%	8%	9%	7%	11%	10%	9%	11%	12%	3%	10%	8%	8%	13%	3%	31%	16%	2%	9%	16%	3%	9%	15%	3%	10%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

What single news source do you turn to most often? This could include a social media site or a news site.
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
[VOL] Social media	21%	22%	20%	52%	25%	23%	8%	16%	35%	35%	17%	25%	13%	18%	28%	38%	21%	26%	20%	22%	24%	24%	14%	18%	24%	27%	17%	23%	26%	15%	21%	29%	13%	24%	40%
[VOL] National television networks, like CBS, NBC or ABC	12%	10%	14%	8%	6%	14%	18%	14%	13%	5%	10%	13%	12%	15%	5%	10%	12%	16%	11%	13%	9%	14%	15%	17%	9%	11%	17%	8%	12%	17%	9%	12%	18%	9%	6%
[VOL] Fox News	10%	9%	11%	3%	5%	9%	16%	13%	2%	4%	6%	12%	7%	17%	4%	3%	10%	10%	7%	14%	6%	10%	16%	2%	16%	24%	<1%	18%	10%	<1%	18%	9%	<1%	17%	8%
[VOL] CNN	9%	8%	9%	8%	11%	6%	11%	8%	9%	11%	12%	7%	11%	6%	16%	8%	10%	8%	5%	5%	11%	7%	7%	14%	4%	6%	18%	3%	7%	17%	2%	7%	15%	2%	13%
[VOL] National print or online news organizations, like The New York Times or The Wall Street Journal	5%	5%	3%	<1%	7%	6%	3%	5%	4%	7%	7%	3%	7%	2%	8%	4%	5%	6%	7%	0%	5%	5%	4%	8%	1%	5%	8%	1%	5%	8%	1%	6%	10%	<1%	2%
[VOL] MSNBC	4%	2%	6%	0%	1%	2%	11%	4%	7%	3%	6%	4%	5%	4%	10%	3%	5%	7%	4%	1%	5%	4%	4%	10%	0%	<.5%	12%	0%	3%	11%	0%	4%	11%	0%	<.5%
[VOL] Aggregation sites (such as Bing, Google, Yahoo News or Apple News)	4%	4%	4%	6%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	5%	3%	5%	4%	6%	3%	5%	4%	3%	3%	5%	2%	6%	5%	4%	1%	5%	3%	5%	4%	3%	5%	5%	3%	5%
[VOL] Newsmax	4%	2%	5%	1%	<.5%	3%	7%	4%	<1%	4%	1%	5%	<.5%	7%	3%	2%	3%	0%	5%	9%	3%	4%	5%	0%	7%	0%	0%	9%	1%	0%	9%	1%	0%	8%	1%
[VOL] Conservative news sites	3%	4%	3%	2%	2%	1%	6%	4%	0%	0%	4%	2%	5%	3%	0%	0%	2%	1%	4%	9%	4%	3%	4%	0%	7%	0%	0%	9%	<.5%	1%	7%	<.5%	0%	7%	<1%
[VOL] Public Radio/NPR/PBS	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	2%	<1%	6%	2%	7%	2%	1%	1%	2%	4%	6%	2%	4%	2%	4%	6%	<.5%	2%	7%	0%	4%	6%	<1%	3%	7%	<.5%	1%
[VOL] International news sources (such as the BBC, Al Jazeera and The Guardian)	3%	4%	2%	1%	7%	4%	<1%	3%	2%	5%	4%	2%	3%	2%	7%	2%	3%	4%	5%	<.5%	3%	3%	2%	4%	1%	5%	3%	1%	3%	4%	2%	3%	5%	2%	2%
[VOL] Local broadcast news (includes non-talk, non-public local radio)	3%	3%	3%	<.5%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	4%	3%	2%	2%	3%	<.5%	7%	1%	3%	4%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%
[VOL] Talk radio/conservative personality	1%	2%	<.5%	0%	2%	2%	1%	<.5%	5%	<1%	<1%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	4%	<1%	<1%	4%	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0%	3%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	3%	<1%	0%	2%	4%
[VOL] Liberal news sites (Such as Mother Jones and Occupy Democrats)	<1%	<1%	<1%	0%	3%	<1%	0%	<1%	<.5%	2%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	<.5%	0%	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	3%
[VOL] Local print or online news organizations	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	1%	0%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	1%	0%	0%
[VOL] Friends and family	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%
[VOL] Doesn’t consume news	1%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	<.5%	2%	3%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	5%	0%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	3%	<.5%	3%	<1%
[VOL] Other (includes no preference and the internet)	9%	10%	9%	8%	11%	8%	7%	9%	10%	11%	11%	9%	14%	6%	3%	13%	12%	5%	5%	6%	12%	8%	8%	8%	12%	3%	7%	9%	12%	9%	11%	7%	7%	12%	6%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	7%	5%	4%	6%	9%	3%	7%	2%	5%	5%	6%	6%	7%	1%	4%	5%	4%	10%	5%	6%	6%	4%	3%	8%	8%	2%	9%	4%	2%	8%	6%	3%	7%	4%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

And just a few more questions for demographic purposes... Do you consider yourself politically liberal, moderate or conservative?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very liberal	12%	8%	15%	25%	21%	6%	10%	12%	11%	17%	15%	11%	14%	10%	15%	13%	11%	8%	24%	7%	16%	12%	6%	26%	<1%	5%	30%	0%	8%	31%	0%	9%	25%	<1%	16%
Somewhat liberal	13%	12%	15%	18%	15%	10%	11%	11%	17%	17%	18%	9%	16%	7%	27%	13%	14%	13%	12%	9%	15%	12%	12%	24%	4%	10%	31%	3%	9%	27%	2%	13%	24%	4%	13%
Moderate	33%	37%	30%	27%	34%	41%	28%	32%	34%	41%	34%	33%	34%	30%	36%	38%	35%	38%	29%	24%	31%	36%	32%	41%	26%	31%	30%	15%	55%	32%	21%	50%	41%	24%	35%
Somewhat conservative	18%	21%	16%	20%	19%	20%	17%	19%	19%	13%	19%	18%	19%	19%	14%	17%	18%	21%	14%	25%	19%	17%	21%	6%	30%	16%	5%	31%	19%	5%	29%	19%	5%	28%	27%
Very conservative	21%	19%	23%	11%	8%	19%	33%	25%	15%	11%	13%	26%	15%	32%	7%	16%	20%	13%	20%	33%	18%	22%	24%	2%	39%	15%	3%	49%	7%	3%	47%	6%	2%	42%	4%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	3%	2%	<.5%	3%	4%	<1%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	7%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	5%	1%	<1%	23%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	<1%	5%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Which of the following general income categories is your total household income before taxes?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Under $25,000	9%	5%	13%	10%	3%	10%	10%	7%	15%	9%	3%	13%	3%	11%	2%	17%	8%	12%	10%	10%	11%	8%	7%	10%	9%	9%	14%	9%	5%	12%	9%	6%	10%	8%	11%
At least $25,000 but under $50,000	15%	13%	17%	32%	18%	9%	14%	12%	20%	24%	8%	20%	7%	16%	10%	28%	12%	15%	27%	18%	20%	13%	10%	17%	13%	19%	16%	12%	18%	19%	10%	19%	14%	14%	23%
At least $50,000 but under $100,000	27%	26%	29%	23%	20%	23%	40%	30%	25%	22%	22%	31%	22%	36%	23%	23%	27%	26%	26%	35%	26%	26%	31%	25%	29%	38%	25%	32%	25%	21%	30%	30%	25%	30%	21%
At least $100,000 but under $200,000	30%	31%	28%	24%	42%	34%	20%	31%	31%	22%	38%	24%	36%	28%	45%	19%	33%	36%	22%	15%	29%	30%	30%	32%	29%	21%	34%	27%	28%	33%	30%	26%	32%	26%	36%
$200,000 or more	14%	21%	8%	5%	17%	20%	10%	15%	6%	16%	24%	7%	27%	7%	17%	8%	16%	9%	10%	13%	11%	18%	12%	13%	15%	5%	8%	13%	23%	9%	17%	15%	14%	16%	6%
[VOL] Refused	5%	4%	6%	6%	<.5%	4%	5%	4%	3%	7%	5%	4%	4%	3%	4%	5%	5%	2%	5%	9%	2%	5%	10%	3%	6%	8%	4%	8%	2%	5%	5%	4%	4%	6%	3%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Do you consider yourself Catholic, Protestant, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, some other religion, or do you have no religious affiliation?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Catholic	21%	20%	22%	15%	16%	26%	22%	16%	51%	12%	19%	23%	14%	17%	32%	35%	19%	25%	25%	25%	24%	19%	19%	21%	22%	20%	28%	20%	18%	29%	17%	19%	23%	19%	25%
Protestant/Christian	33%	26%	39%	22%	21%	34%	43%	35%	22%	33%	26%	37%	27%	40%	21%	30%	32%	30%	29%	45%	30%	32%	40%	22%	43%	28%	21%	46%	29%	22%	47%	25%	21%	43%	27%
Mormon/Latter-day Saints	3%	5%	2%	8%	5%	3%	1%	4%	<1%	4%	6%	2%	8%	2%	<1%	3%	5%	3%	1%	0%	3%	4%	2%	1%	6%	<1%	<1%	5%	4%	<1%	6%	2%	1%	6%	0%
Jewish	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	5%	4%	0%	1%	7%	<1%	9%	1%	2%	0%	4%	<1%	2%	3%	3%	4%	<1%	5%	1%	0%	7%	1%	2%	8%	1%	<.5%	5%	1%	2%
Muslim	<1%	1%	0%	0%	2%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	5%	2%	0%	0%	0%	7%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	<1%	0%	5%	<.5%	0%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	2%	0%	<.5%
[VOL] Greek/Russian Orthodox	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Hindu	<1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	<.5%	0%	4%	0%	1%	0%	<.5%	0%	3%	1%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	2%	<.5%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	<1%
[VOL] Buddhist	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%
Some other religion (specify)	3%	2%	3%	5%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	8%	6%	<.5%	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%
No religious affiliation	34%	38%	30%	47%	53%	28%	24%	37%	23%	36%	36%	33%	37%	37%	34%	26%	36%	31%	35%	26%	34%	34%	34%	44%	25%	33%	38%	23%	41%	34%	24%	46%	42%	26%	43%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	2%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	<.5%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	9%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

(If Protestant, Christian, Mormon, Greek/Russian Orthodox or some other religion) Do you consider yourself an evangelical or born-again Christian?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	23%	20%	26%	23%	14%	22%	28%	22%	20%	28%	14%	29%	14%	27%	13%	29%	21%	19%	22%	39%	19%	23%	32%	9%	36%	26%	8%	40%	19%	10%	38%	17%	7%	37%	20%
No	16%	15%	17%	10%	12%	19%	18%	18%	5%	17%	20%	13%	24%	14%	11%	11%	17%	19%	14%	6%	17%	15%	14%	18%	14%	12%	16%	14%	17%	17%	16%	14%	19%	14%	9%
[PREVIOUSLY] Catholic, Jewish, Muslim, no religious affiliation or refused	59%	63%	55%	65%	74%	57%	51%	57%	74%	54%	64%	56%	60%	55%	77%	59%	60%	55%	62%	55%	62%	60%	52%	71%	48%	60%	74%	43%	63%	71%	43%	68%	72%	46%	70%
[VOL] Refused	2%	2%	2%	2%	<.5%	3%	3%	3%	0%	<1%	1%	3%	2%	4%	<.5%	<1%	2%	6%	2%	0%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	<.5%	2%	3%	1%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Would you be open to commenting on the issues in this survey and be interested in being contacted by a reporter?
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity			Education		Race/Education				Region				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			Party ID			Party Reg.			2020 Vote
	Arizona Likely Electorate	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Maricopa County	North / East	Pima County	West	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Harris	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	34%	36%	32%	16%	38%	41%	31%	36%	25%	32%	36%	32%	37%	35%	33%	26%	35%	36%	33%	29%	33%	31%	40%	35%	34%	16%	31%	35%	33%	34%	34%	34%	37%	34%	25%
No	66%	64%	68%	84%	62%	59%	69%	64%	75%	68%	64%	68%	63%	65%	67%	74%	65%	64%	67%	71%	67%	69%	60%	65%	66%	84%	69%	65%	67%	66%	66%	66%	63%	66%	75%
Number of respondents	610	295	312	104	131	213	147	392	116	89	272	334	193	197	72	132	352	81	99	78	256	214	140	273	302	35	175	187	215	178	213	219	228	245	114
Percentage of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	13%	20%	32%	33%	67%	17%	14%	38%	61%	28%	39%	10%	21%	60%	12%	16%	12%	42%	36%	22%	45%	50%	5%	29%	34%	32%	31%	39%	30%	41%	44%	11%

Party ID is self-identified party, without leaners; independents include only self-identified independents.

Gender is self-reported if the respondent completed the full questionnaire; otherwise, it is based on the interviewer’s determination. If neither are available, it is as reported on the voter file.

Neighborhood type is a New York Times classification based on each voter’s address. Voters within a metropolitan area’s central city are classified as living in a city. Voters living in a metropolitan area but outside the central city are considered suburban if they live in a census-designated urban area. All other voters — those living in nonmetropolitan areas, and those living in non-urbanized parts of metropolitan areas outside the central city — are classified as living in small towns or rural areas.

How These Polls Were Conducted

Here are the key things to know about these polls:

Composition of the Sample

Group	Unweighted All R.V.s	Weighted All R.V.s	Weighted Likely Electorate	N
Gender
Men	48%	48%	47%	345
Women	51	51	53	365
Age
18 to 29	18%	17%	13%	128
30 to 44	21	22	21	152
45 to 64	34	30	31	243
65 and older	24	29	33	173
Education
High school	15%	28%	25%	110
Some college	40	35	35	286
College	25	23	24	181
Post-graduate	18	13	15	130
Home Ownership (L2 Model)
Likely renter	20%	18%	16%	143
Likely homeowner	50	54	59	359
Unknown	30	28	25	211
Marital Status (L2 Model)
Married	47%	50%	56%	335
Unknown	53	50	44	378
Party (Self-Reported)
Democrat	29%	28%	29%	206
Republican	30	31	33	216
Independent	35	34	32	249
Party (Based on L2 Data)
Democrat	29%	30%	31%	209
Republican	35	35	39	249
Other	36	35	30	255
Race (L2 Model)
White	62%	62%	65%	444
Hispanic	22	21	18	155
Black	1	1	1	10
Asian	2	2	2	11
Other	3	3	2	18
Race (L2 Model)
White	62%	62%	65%	444
Nonwhite	27	27	24	194
State Region
Maricopa County	58%	59%	60%	417
Pima County	15	15	16	108
North/East	14	13	13	98
Turnout History (Based on L2 Data)
Voted in last midterm and in a primary	41%	46%	55%	295
Voted in last two midterms	20	20	21	144
Voted in last general, no midterm	13	11	10	96
Did not vote in last general or midterm	15	12	6	110
New registrant	10	11	8	68

Cross-Tabs: September 2024 Times/Siena Poll of the Arizona Likely Electorate (2024)

Composition of the Sample

References